Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001847 0.001958 0.002074 0.002202 0.002341 0.002487 0.002653
2025-04-27 0.001698 0.001857 0.002029 0.002228 0.002453 0.002702 0.002997
2025-05-04 0.001610 0.001804 0.002020 0.002278 0.002581 0.002928 0.003358
2025-05-11 0.001556 0.001779 0.002033 0.002346 0.002726 0.003174 0.003751
2025-05-18 0.001488 0.001729 0.002011 0.002366 0.002808 0.003345 0.004059
2025-05-25 0.001399 0.001647 0.001941 0.002321 0.002803 0.003405 0.004226
2025-06-01 0.001331 0.001586 0.001894 0.002298 0.002821 0.003489 0.004425
2025-06-08 0.001290 0.001555 0.001880 0.002314 0.002888 0.003638 0.004715
2025-06-15 0.001236 0.001505 0.001839 0.002291 0.002901 0.003712 0.004905
2025-06-22 0.001190 0.001462 0.001804 0.002275 0.002920 0.003794 0.005109
2025-06-29 0.001146 0.001420 0.001768 0.002254 0.002930 0.003862 0.005294
2025-07-06 0.001100 0.001373 0.001725 0.002220 0.002919 0.003899 0.005434
2025-07-13 0.001034 0.001300 0.001646 0.002140 0.002846 0.003852 0.005460
2025-07-20 0.001010 0.001283 0.001642 0.002163 0.002921 0.004026 0.005840
2025-07-27 0.000996 0.001279 0.001655 0.002210 0.003034 0.004263 0.006341
2025-08-03 0.000990 0.001284 0.001681 0.002275 0.003177 0.004554 0.006955
2025-08-10 0.000969 0.001267 0.001675 0.002294 0.003249 0.004739 0.007407
2025-08-17 0.000930 0.001223 0.001629 0.002251 0.003223 0.004763 0.007578
2025-08-24 0.000899 0.001191 0.001598 0.002229 0.003227 0.004837 0.007842
2025-08-31 0.000882 0.001177 0.001592 0.002244 0.003293 0.005015 0.008314
2025-09-07 0.000855 0.001148 0.001563 0.002222 0.003296 0.005086 0.008589
2025-09-14 0.000832 0.001123 0.001539 0.002207 0.003308 0.005174 0.008902
2025-09-21 0.000808 0.001097 0.001513 0.002187 0.003311 0.005245 0.009188